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Posts Tagged ‘commercial real estate notes’

Smaller banks not repaying TARP funds

Wednesday, January 6th, 2010

Smaller and mid size banks are not repaying TARP funds

The ‘too big to fail’ big banks are rushing to repay the TARP funds across the country so that they can get out from under the executive pay restrictions, but that is generally not a concern at the community and regional banks.  The Distressed Commercial Notes that are backed mostly be commercial real estate will be the biggest problem facing these smaller banks in 2010.  That is because many of these loans are constructions loans, bridge loans or have their roll overs during the year and the banks will not be able to lend due to reduced appraisal valuations.

While overall the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) is outperforming expectations and this is good news for taxpayers, most banks are still not lending.  The smaller banks don’t have the executive pay levels high enough for them to rush to repay the TARP funds, and since they will face a large share of troubled commercial notes coming due in the next year they must preserve their capital.   This is NOT good news for small business owners or the economy in general since most small business rely on community and regional bank lending for the expansion and operations.

And while note explicitly stated, it is also related to the goal of decreasing the overall number of banks in the country.  The larger banks don’t have to have near the FDIC capital levels that are required of the smaller banks.  Thus smaller and community bank shareholders are in a precarious position in 2010 and need to realize that the old ways of holding OREO and other distressed assets while waiting for an economic recovery and bank earnings to allow liquidation of the REO is probabaly not going to work this time.

Eventually the small and mid size banks will have to repay the TARP funds, the question is, will they be around long enough to do so?

Commercial Real Estate and the Mayan Calender

Monday, December 14th, 2009

Commercial Real Estate and the Mayan Calender

As the date approaches, many fear the Mayan calendar which states that the end of the world will occur in 2012 – well, December 21, 2012 to be exact.  Hollywood seems to buy into it as they’re releasing a film of blockbuster potential aptly entitled “2012”.  Maybe the Mayans were referring not to the end of the world but a cataclysmic meltdown of the commercial real estate industry. 

Maybe not the entire world, but the Commercial Real Estate Industry is bad.

The commercial foreclosures that will be and already has started to trickle into the media will flood the market soon.  We’ve already started to see this with many big businesses going under but one industry is the newspaper and magazine industry.  Why are these going out of business?  Well, the online industry has had much to do with this as people are getting their information on the Internet and they’re not paying for it.  Why pay for something that you can have at your fingertips for free, literally!? 

Take the Newspaper business for example

If we take a step back at this predicament, the newspaper company that went out of business is not the only company suffering.  Landlords will now have to come up with money they are no longer receiving from these newspaper companies to pay the mortgage to the bank.  Well, if there is no newspaper company to pay the bills because subscriptions are down, then the landlord can’t pay the bank and now the commercial bank note is non-performing.  See where I’m coming from?  This is a huge problem and the newspaper industry is just one of many industries where banks are starting to fret about.  Distressed Bank Assets will start flooding the news soon and who knows, maybe December 21, 2012 will be the worst day in the commercial real estate industry